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A Methodology on Treating Uncertainty of LCI Data using Monte Carlo Simulation

Ji-Hyung Park, Kwang-Kyu Seo
JKSPE 2004;21(12):109-118.
Published online: December 1, 2004
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Life cycle assessment (LCA) usually involves some uncertainty. These uncertainties are generally divided in two categories such lack of data and data inaccuracy in life cycle inventory (LCI). This paper explores a methodology on dealing with uncertainty due to lack of data in LCI. In order to treat uncertainty of LCI data, a model for data uncertainty is proposed. The model works with probabilistic curves as inputs and with Monte Carlo Simulation techniques to propagate uncertainty. The probabilistic curves were derived from the results of survey in expert network and Monte Carlo Simulation was performed using the derived probabilistic curves. The results of Monte Carlo Simulation were verified by statistical test. The proposed approach should serve as a guide to improve data quality and deal with uncertainty of LCI data in LCA projects.

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A Methodology on Treating Uncertainty of LCI Data using Monte Carlo Simulation
J. Korean Soc. Precis. Eng.. 2004;21(12):109-118.   Published online December 1, 2004
Download Citation

Download a citation file in RIS format that can be imported by all major citation management software, including EndNote, ProCite, RefWorks, and Reference Manager.

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A Methodology on Treating Uncertainty of LCI Data using Monte Carlo Simulation
J. Korean Soc. Precis. Eng.. 2004;21(12):109-118.   Published online December 1, 2004
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